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一般来说,成熟的代运营企业会采取“轻重并举”的模式。一方面可以与大品牌保持深度的合作,从中持续积累行业knowhow,这有利于代运营企业在后期孵化自有品牌。而另一方面代销则有利于品牌进行品类的快速扩张,确保一定的投资回报率。Generally speaking, mature outsourcing companies will adopt a "light and heavy" model. On the one hand, it is possible to maintain deep cooperation with major brands and continuously accumulate industry knowledge from them, which is conducive to the incubation of their own brands by proxy operators in the later stage. On the other hand, consignment sales are conducive to the brand's rapid expansion of categories, ensuring a certain return on investment.
在报告发布暨研讨会上,国务院发展研究中心市场经济研究所原所长、研究员任兴洲指出,我国已进入了现代化国家建设和高质量发展的新时期,消费也进入新的发展阶段,消费结构持续升级。消费需求更加多元化,消费层级越来越细分,消费的个性化特征越来越明显。
更现实的一面是,代理模式也变得越来越不赚钱。宝尊在2022Q4业绩交流会上就指出:“在TR(take rate)方面,已经变得竞争较为激烈。”丽人丽妆2022年财报也显示,其线上品牌营销管理运营(代运营)的毛利减少了20%个百分点。More realistically, the proxy pattern is also becoming less and less profitable. At the 2022Q4 performance exchange meeting, Baozun pointed out that "in terms of TR (take rate), the competition has become more intense." The 2022 financial report of Liren Lizhou also showed that the gross profit of its online brand marketing management operation (agency operation) decreased by 20%.
新的时代里,讲究性价比与回报率,崇尚稳定性与长期性,再亮眼的GMV战报也无法保证品牌的长红。回到问题的原点,在一个好赛道里,越精细的分工往往可以建立越深厚的护城河,卖铲人可以越来越赚钱,比如英伟达。但在一个看得见天花板的赛道里,金矿越来越少,留给渠道商的机会本就不多。In the new era, emphasizing cost-effectiveness and return rate, advocating stability and long-term performance, even the most eye-catching GMV battle report cannot guarantee the brand's long-term success. Returning to the origin of the problem, in a good track, the finer the division of labor, the more profound the moat can be established, and shovel sellers can make more money, such as NVIDIA. But in a track with a visible ceiling, there are fewer and fewer gold mines, leaving few opportunities for channel merchants.
从经销模式转型为代理模式,从垂直品类到全品类,代运营商们往往会“水土不服”。一是,曾经的经验方法论不一定能再度成功,靠路径依赖难以打动品牌;二是消费品品类普遍面临着上新频繁、SKU多、新老品牌竞争激烈等问题,掌握话语权的品牌也不会将“鸡蛋放在一个篮子里”。From the distribution mode to the proxy pattern, from the vertical category to the full category, the agent operators tend to "acclimatize". Firstly, previous empirical methodologies may not necessarily succeed again, and relying on path dependence is difficult to impress brands; Secondly, consumer goods are generally facing problems such as frequent updates, multiple SKUs, and fierce competition between old and new brands. Brands that have the say will not "put eggs in one basket".
